Thursday, July 4, 2013

Egyptian Coup

The ouster of Morsi is a devastating blow to democracy in the middle east. Using history to predict the future, we can be optimistic and expect another Pakistan, with a succession of pseudo-democratic governments interspersed with military takeovers.

Even if the US had nothing to do with this one, it will not be seen that way. The Muslim street will assume the will of the majority of Egyptians is unacceptable since they are hostile to Israel.

If a popularly elected moderate cannot survive, then democracy is hopeless. It will be dictators until a radical revolution. Thus the pessimistic view is another Iran, with Morsi playing the role of Mossadegh.